Best FPL Transfers GW5: Who to Buy and Sell
Top buys
Erling Haaland (FWD, £15.5m, 8.9 xP) - The Norwegian monster faces Sunderland at home (FDR 2) and leads all players with 8.9 expected points. At 72.3% ownership, not having him is a massive risk. Replace underperforming premium forwards to accommodate his premium price tag.
Joško Gvardiol (DEF, £5.7m, 6.5 xP) - Outstanding value at 1.14 points per million, Gvardiol offers the second-best expected points this week. Man City's home fixture against Sunderland presents clean sheet potential (17.7% DefCon probability) plus his attacking threat from left-back. Swap out any defender under 6.0 xP.
Rayan Cherki (MID, £7.8m, 6.3 xP) - The City midfielder offers strong numbers at 0.81 points per million against Sunderland. With 28.5% ownership, he's becoming essential in the mid-price bracket. Replace any midfielder priced similarly with lower expected returns.
Hold or sell
Hold: Morgan Gibbs-White (MID, £7.9m, 6.2 xP) - Despite lower ownership at 11.8%, MGW faces Coventry at home with solid 6.2 expected points. At similar pricing to Cherki but with differential potential, he's worth keeping through this favorable fixture.
Sell: Non-performing premiums - If you're holding expensive assets outside the City triple-up who aren't delivering, now's the time to move them on. The data screams Man City dominance for GW5, and funds need redirecting toward the Etihad.
Best budget move
Marc Guéhi (DEF, £6.0m, 6.1 xP) - At just £6.0m with 1.02 points per million, Guéhi delivers premium expected points from a budget defender slot. His 17.5% clean sheet probability against Sunderland matches Gvardiol's defensive output while costing £0.3m less. This move frees crucial funds to upgrade elsewhere, potentially facilitating the Haaland transfer if you've been priced out. Swap any defender under £6.0m with lower projections.Build this squad in the optimizer
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